My 100th Birthday celebration will take place
about mid-century. You’re all invited.
It won’t be easy to reach that age. My
Dad passed away a few years shy of his 90th. But, I figure 100 is within reach with the
help of a handful of highly skilled people and a lot of technology.
There’s a history of heart disease in my family. So, I might have a new heart by then – one
grown using my stem cells inside a pig or perhaps printed in a 3D printer.
I may need the help of a home health aid, a robot that first
analyzes what pharmaceuticals I need each day by means of a transdermal scan. It will mix my drug cocktail of the day and administer
it through a patch.
My medication will keep my energy up and an artificial limb may
keep me physically able. I won’t be old
and frail – just old. And, that’s a good
thing because my financial planner projected I would have been gone long before
my 95th birthday. So, I’ll have
to work.
My commute will be comfortable. A self-driving electric car dispatched
directly to my home will pick me up. Its
batteries will be constantly recharged by a system embedded in our
highways. This service will be provided
by one of the big three integrated transportation service companies – GM, Uber
and Delta (nee Delta Airlines). I won’t
own a car and won’t care which of these companies takes me to work. I’ll likely choose the one with the best
rewards program.
Of course, all this assumes I can keep my skills up to
date. Lots of jobs will be gone by
then. Those wanting to work will have to
be either smarter or cheaper than machines enabled by embedded sensors and big
data analytics.
Highly skilled labor will still be much in demand, of
course. If you’re the doctor who can
implant my new heart or install my bionic leg, your financial rewards will be
great. Same goes for those who can
create the algorithms that will keep modern society functioning. And, the AI revolution will create lots of
new jobs for the post-Millennial generation trained in robot repair, higher
math or data analytics -- just not enough to replace the ones that will be
lost.
Many Millennials will be unable to find work, as they will
have been well educated for 20th Century jobs. Taxpayer dollars providing free college
educations will have been wasted.
No worries though. The
government will guarantee a level of income sufficient to maintain a
middle-class lifestyle. The industrial
revolution that spawns this new economy will produce vastly more national
income. So, we’ll be able to afford a
new, huge safety net.
My grandson, Jake, will be gainfully employed having
graduated from the U.S. Air Force Academy (Class of ’48) and will be on his
first tour piloting UAV’s in outer space.
This new network of satellite-based drones will act as a deterrent, capable
of launching hypersonic rockets to take out the power grids of any country on
earth, disabling their capability to make war or function as a modern
society. The operation of drones still
flying within earth’s atmosphere to take out single human targets, like
terrorists, will have been turned over to artificially intelligent fire control
systems that will analyze data and evolve assassination algorithms consistent
with the agreements reached by the industrialized world in the new Geneva
Conventions.
So, if I have to work, how will I earn a good income in this
new economy? Well, I was educated in the
20th Century before the digital revolution. So, I will still have skills that will be
valued and can’t be replaced by artificial intelligence. I know how to motivate, negotiate, persuade and coordinate.
Try to get your robot to do that.
WHO WILL LEAD?
100 years of life expectancy is certainly reasonable, but you might want to expand that horizon some.
ReplyDelete15 years ago, on my 50th birthday, I was told, "Congratulations, you've made it 1/3rd of the way through your (reasonably) expected lifetime." I believed this wise sage because of his Greek accent, and it adjusted my own mental perspective about the 'length of my runway' quite a lot. I consider that a benefit from even thinking longer term.
Too bad that AI isn't available today to find me a place to get a COVID vaccine. Or maybe a robot to come to my house and give me the vaccine.
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