Monday, November 30, 2020

The truth or what passes for it: Twitter vs. Wikipedia

The truth is on trial in the U.S. Senate.  Recent committee hearings featuring the CEO’s of silicon valley’s leading companies were ostensibly about a review of Section 230 of the Communications Act.  But, like most things political these days, it was really a circus where the senators took turns as ringmaster and consistently displayed their ignorance.  The exchange between Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey is a good example.  The senator cited Twitter’s decision to add labels challenging claims of voter fraud saying, “you’re a publisher when you’re doing that.  You’re entitled to take a policy position, but you don’t get to pretend you’re not a publisher and get special benefit under Section 230 as a result.”  Section 230 protects Twitter and other platforms from being sued because of content posted by users.  It doesn’t matter if Twitter is a publisher or not.  

 

Of course, the principle at the heart of this debate is the freedom of expression guaranteed by the First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, more specifically the Freedom of the Press.  The mainstream news media didn’t testify at the hearings but perhaps they should.  Media publications are subject to recourse by citizens and other legal entities should they commit libel against them.  Not so for the social media titans.  In the early days of the internet, Section 230 gave them a hall pass.  So, any blubbering idiot or blogger (including yours truly) can publish their thoughts on a variety of platforms without editorial review.  And, so, misdirection, misinformation or outright lies abound.

 

Calls for Twitter and Facebook to reign in the insanity have resulted from complaints from both sides of the aisle.  I think their claims have merit, but I can’t say I’ve heard of an appropriate remedy.  Once you start down that path, where do you draw the line?  Doesn’t the New York Times report the news from a position of bias?  Doesn’t FOX News? 

 

Flying below the radar is the second most visited site on the Internet:  Wikipedia.com.  The site includes over 55 million articles, comparable to its for-profit competitor Encyclopedia Britannica.  In my youth, Britannica was the gold standard.  To this day, its articles are written by paid experts and vetted by other paid experts.  Yet, in a study performed by the research journal Nature, its accuracy was judged little better than Wikipedia.  In its study, they found only eight serious errors – four in each encyclopedia.   

 

How remarkable that a self-regulated marketplace of ideas has achieved such status.  There is no editorial board  vetting what’s posted; no advertising to sully its objectivity; and no barrage of lawsuits challenging its accuracy.  Yet, the editor of a Gannett published daily once told me Wikipedia is not authorized as a source for reporters.  

 

So, what does all of this portend for the moguls of social media.  Other than an annual ass-whipping in front of a Congressional committee, will we see platforms reined in or, as some Democrats have suggested, regulated like a utility?  Will they be edited like any other news organization?  Perhaps they should adopt practices similar to Wikipedia, crowd-sourcing new information before publishing it.  Or they could create an artificial intelligence that bounces new information off an online encyclopedia of “facts.”  

 


Alternatively, they could partner with global news organizations like CNN, Associated Press and the New York Times.  It would be simple for them to block the posting of any source other those approved by a board appointed by them.  There’s a risk of course that they would publish extremist views whether from Newsmax or The Rolling Stone.  Or that they might block those views.  In those cases, would they be recasting themselves as news media?  Would people still post pictures of  cats and their grandchildren?  Who knows?

 

Whatever “solution” is deemed appropriate, it must come from the platforms themselves.  Once we allow government to decide what we should and shouldn’t see, we have undermined the very freedoms on which our nation was founded, upon which we have come to rely.  As one pundit said when considering government restrictions: “We’re adults.  We will only advance if we deny the proscriptions of our ‘betters.’  We hired them to protect our freedoms – not to remove them.”

 

WHO WILL LEAD?  

 

 

 

 


 

 

Monday, November 16, 2020

How Trump could have won

The US economy started 2020 like a locomotive charging down the tracks.  In any other presidential reelection year, high GDP growth and low unemployment would make an incumbent unbeatable.  But the pandemic had other ideas and Trump’s handling of it was likely the biggest factor in his electoral defeat.  

 

By many accounts, it was the final straw.  Moderates who might have supported Trump’s Supreme Court nominees, confrontation with China and tax breaks deserted him because of his failure to lead.  In its first post-election poll, Rasmussen Reports (a polling organization that called both the 2016 and 2020 elections accurately) reported that 56% of those voting for Biden were voting AGAINST Trump, not FOR Biden.

 

I think Trump could have won and won big.  Here’s how:  let’s roll the calendar back to March 11, 2020.  The headlines say that the World Health Organization has declared a pandemic.  President Donald J. Trump, Jr. calls a news conference which is broadcast worldwide.  Here’s how he begins: 

 

“My fellow Americans, today the World Health Organization has declared a global pandemic due to the rapid spread and deadly effects of COVID-19.  In response, I am declaring a state of national state of emergency to ensure this dreaded virus has minimal impact on all Americans and our economy. 

 

“The federal government has limited authority to dictate to the states and each state will find they have different needs as the virus spreads throughout the United States.  But we have extensive resources to support the states and I am determined to put them to best use.  At this point, our knowledge about the virus, its impact, and how it is spread is limited.  So, I have asked our best scientists to focus all of our resources on how best to lessen the impact and find a cure.  Dr. Anthony Fauci, the Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases – a position he has held since the Reagan administration, will be the administration’s point man.  He will brief the press and the American public daily, providing updates as we learn more and guidelines to help the states fight what is likely to be among the greatest challenges in our history.

 

“What I ask of you, my fellow Americans, is that you heed the warnings and follow the advice of the experts.  

 

“I have also asked Vice President Mike Pence to lead a task force we are calling ‘Operation Warp Speed.’  Its mission will be to both marshal the resources at our disposal to limit the spread of the virus and to support our pharmaceutical industry in finding a vaccine that will stop this deadly pandemic in its tracks.

 

“I am also prepared to authorize the expansion of our manufacturing of critical medical supplies under the Defense Production Act, a law that was used to great effect during World War II to convert our factories to the production of tanks and planes.  Our needs during the pandemic are quite different.  We will be reviewing our nation’s capacity to produce critical medical equipment and supplies and respond accordingly. 

 

“There will be some frightening moments and many families are likely to lose loved ones as we fight this battle.  But we should remember that over the last 80 years the United States of America has come together to defeat the Nazis, stare down the Soviet Union in a Cold War and destroy Al Qaeda in the wake of 9/11.  There is nothing we cannot accomplish when we come together as a nation.

 

“COVID-19 doesn’t care if you’re a Republican or a Democrat and neither do I.  Together, we can prevent the worst effects of this pandemic.  So, let’s get to work.”

 

Presidential declarations of this type are rare.  But they’re important when we are facing a national emergency.  FDR’s declaration that December 7 (Pearl Harbor Day) will forever be known as a “day of infamy” was such a moment.  As was George W. Bush’s trip to New York a few days after 9/11 when he stood atop the rubble of the World Trade Center speaking through a bullhorn and later threw the first pitch of the World Series in Yankee Stadium.

 

Such displays of character and leadership are what our nation needs in times of crisis.  Character matters.  Leadership matters.  But President Trump didn’t make that speech because he couldn’t.  He simply lacks the character and leadership skills to do so.  

 

And, so, we will have a new president in January.  It is my great hope that President Joe Biden can overcome the damage that’s been done.  Our nation needs the healing effect of strong leadership.  

 

WHO WILL LEAD? 

 



 

Sunday, November 1, 2020

Libertarianism and the pandemic


As one Twitter pundit put it last Spring, “There are no libertarians in a pandemic.”  There is no possibility of quickly identifying a deadly virus and advising the public at large on its impact and how to deal with it in the absence of a massive, well-established, government-funded medical research agency.  The Twitterverse lit up with glee at the cleverness of this observation.  But punditry aside, most libertarians and advocates of small government would support large-scale government response to public emergencies.  That line of thought doesn’t align with massive, intrusive government full-time, all the time. 

 

On the other side of the argument, small-government Republicans have pointed to the necessity of waiving a dump truck full of regulations to permit doctors to work across state lines, facilitate telemedicine and accelerate the development of a vaccine.  At a local level, restaurants have been allowed to sell alcohol to takeout customers, streets have been blocked to traffic to accommodate outdoor dining and distilleries have repurposed their operations to produce hand sanitizer.  All with the blessing of local regulators.  

 

None of these activities supports the extreme views of either liberals (massive government) or conservatives (drown the government in the bathtub).  Yet, the pitched battle waged in Congress reflecting the culture war leaves us with only the two extremes as options. 

 


Where to draw the line will never be an exact science, particularly when a crisis is upon us.  The mixed signals and false starts that were abundant in March and April remind me of trying to fix an airplane while you’re flying it.  State and local mandates were inconsistent from place to place as infection rates and local conditions varied.  Wyoming would never need the same restrictions as metropolitan New York.  And, Florida still has both a lower infection rate and lower unemployment rate than New York.  That needn’t have devolved into a battle of left vs. right.  But, as things go these days, that’s exactly what happened.  

 Fixing the plane while you're flying it



And, so, the pandemic has raised the prospect or, at least, a discussion about technocratic control a la Europe.  But such control hasn’t saved Europe from the worst effects of the virus and it is never a guarantee that such bureaucratic rule-making would be effective or just.  Is that an argument to turn everything over to the free market?  No, it’s not.

 

We must recognize that, in the absence of a financial motivation, the private sector would never develop the required regime of testing, contact tracing and quarantine.  Further, only government can mitigate the worst effects of the pandemic by providing funds to keep businesses and households in the black, all the while funding and guiding medical research to the best outcome, whatever that may be.  

 

The modern libertarian ideal has been distorted by the far right of the Republican Party with their own catchphrases.  I’m thinking of Grover Norquist’s vow to make government small enough to “drown it in a bathtub.”  We have delegitimized government so much that the nation that beat the Nazis and put a man on the moon by exercising its industrial might now can’t produce enough masks for its doctors and nurses.   






 

As with so many other of our greatest challenges, the American right has rendered itself irrelevant to the task of creating legitimate state capacity to address our greatest needs.  This is a genuine tragedy.  There is legitimacy to the Libertarian ideal.  Suspicion of centralized government power and respect of the power of market forces should form the basis of how we decide to move forward.  But that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t have effective government programs. 

 

The left would like to restore the triumvirate of the 3 BIG’s -- government, business and labor – that drove the economy for two and a half decades following WWII.  But that era was enabled by the destruction of the industrial capacity of Europe and Japan during the war.  By the 1970’s, high taxes had undermined capital investment rendering the US uncompetitive and setting the stage for the Stagflation that characterized that decade.  It also set the stage for Ronald Reagan’s supply-side economics that served us well for about two decades.  

 

At the dawn of the 21st Century, that paradigm seemed to be getting too long in the tooth to drive economic progress.  The Bush tax cuts yielded economic growth equal dollar for dollar with the growth in government debt.  In other words, the multiplier effect seemed to be absent during a decade when capital flowed more easily into tax advantaged real estate investments eschewing innovating industries like manufacturing and high tech.  The failure of the tax cuts to spur economic growth combined with a failed government response to Hurricane Katrina and the bursting of the housing bubble then set the stage for liberal Democrats to take both houses of Congress and the White House.  Free trade agreements made in the 1990’s made the investor class richer while problems once isolated to the inner city spread to rural communities – family breakdown, drug abuse, education and healthcare gaps.  

As we look forward to a decade of not only overcoming a pandemic but also confronting the strategic challenges presented by China and making economic growth more inclusive, we must fight the instincts of both the left (to put too much faith in government action) and the right (to leave too much to the market).  The legitimate objective of government is to do what we cannot do for ourselves but must be done.  The focus should be on making government effective rather on the dogmatic reflexes of the left and the right. 

Free markets only perform at optimal levels when embedded in common goods provided by government:  education, infrastructure and economic freedom.  And, government can only be effective if its limitations are recognized.  Regulation must be reasonable and consistent. Disincentives to private investment should be removed and corruption must be rooted out. 

WHO WILL LEAD?