Monday, December 28, 2015

The Top Topics of 2015



I’m feeling pretty lazy this week. You know, with the food coma and all. It would be pretty easy to simply list the ten most read blog posts of the year.  After all, Google provides and your faithful blogger abides.

But, wouldn’t it be better to focus for just a few minutes on the topics that most resonated with you, my faithful readers, this year?

It’s a rhetorical question; so here goes…

The impact of robotics and artificial intelligence is on the minds of many.  Will new technology take our jobs?  Well, it always has.  In “Our Future:  Educated People or Just Educated Robots?” I explored the impact of robotics on the job market and speculated that our greatest risk was our inability to educate workers fast enough to fill the new jobs that will result from this incipient disruption.

I have managed call centers for a fair share of my career.  So when I read about Mattel’s development of artificial intelligence for a new Barbie doll, I jumped to the potential impact on call centers.  In “What if Barbie Could Pass the Turing Test?” I imagined Barbie replacing the voicemail tree that plagues us all when we call our bank or medical insurer. 


The most widely read of this series was “Advice to Give Your Kid in the Age of AI”.  I cited studies that have identified superior social skills combined with math skills as “the most important element in adapting to a future where Artificial Intelligence replaces people doing routine work”.  Robots are the most visible manifestation of the new age of AI; however, it will be advanced sensing devices and data analytics that drive the need for employees with the right combination of social and math skills.

Perhaps consistent with that theme was a series on the obsolescence of the current university model.  As a follow up to a 2014 post titled “Don’t Send Your Kids to College” I wrote about how “The Free Market for Education is Adapting”.  In a later post titled “It’s Time to Replace Our Universities with…” I wondered “how we as a society can sustain” the current model. The most widely read of the series asks the question “When Will the University Bubble Burst?

While these topics seem to have resonated with many of you, there was one single post that was the mostly widely read in 2015.  My post criticizing Bernie Sanders, “Let’s understand just what socialism means to us”, generated the most clicks, the most comments and the most vicious attacks on me personally.  Interestingly, no matter how intense the response, no one refuted the premise that free market capitalism is the best economic system to ensure prosperity for all.


One astute reader pointed out that Sanders is not a socialist.  He is a “democratic socialist”.  What’s the difference?  Well, in a purely socialist system, the government would confiscate all private property.  In a so-called democratic socialist system, private ownership would be permitted but profits would be taxed at a very high rate.  In Sanders’ view, the highest rate should be 90%.

So, if an investor risks personal capital and the enterprise fails, that would be his or her loss.  However, a big gain would be taxed away.  Oh yeah!  That would work?


WHO WILL LEAD?

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Yes, the spirit moves me

I always get a little sentimental this time of year.  Two years ago, I wrote a post titled “Are we celebrating Christmas or celebrating our humanity?”  Frankly, I can’t think of a better expression of my feelings about the holiday season and what it means in American society -- a society without equal in its ability to integrate other cultures and religions.  My words then:


The Christian values of tolerance and love for our fellow man are powerfully attractive to Christians and non-Christians alike.  People of all faiths can embrace the annual celebration of Christmas. People respond to the sense of charity, love and forgiveness espoused by Jesus Christ because those values and the emotion we attach to them are fundamental to us as human beings.  

The angel who announced the birth of Christ to the world said, “I bring you good news of great joy that will be for all people….”

All people…

Earlier that year, I passed on a quote sent to me by my brother.  It was from Reinhold Niebuhr.  It began “nothing worth doing can be achieved in our lifetime; therefore we must be saved by hope…”  Concluding that post, I expressed my:

Hope that civil society will prevail in accordance with humanist tradition.  Hope that we will continue to evolve according to the tenets of tolerance and self-rule.  Those ideas are part of our DNA.  That they have been expressed in so many ways for thousands of years is ample evidence.” 

The hope that Americans embrace comes not only from our founding fathers but also from the waves of immigrants whose aspirations drove them to our shores.

And, we will always be saved by hope.

Happy Holidays to all.






Monday, December 7, 2015

An American Evolution: The Right to Bear Arms


A few months ago, I ran across a legal brief written in 1971 by John Levin.  At the time of its writing, Levin was an Assistant Professor at the Chicago-Kent College of Law.  In the wake of the terrorist attack in San Bernadino, I thought it be interesting to provide excerpts from Levin's brief:

"The earliest colonial statutes requiring that the colonists arm themselves were Virginia statutes of 1623 stating that ‘no man go or send abroad without a sufficient party will [sic] armed,’ and that ‘men go not to worke in the ground without their arms (and a centinell upon them)."

“During the revolutionary period the issue of arms and the bearing of arms developed along two distinct lines. One line of development related to the balance of military power between the people and their respective governments. The people feared that if the state or federal government became too powerful, that government would abridge the liberties of the people and impose its will by force. The other line of development related to the balance of military power between the governmental bodies of the union. The state governments feared that if they entrusted too much power in the hands of the central government, that government would destroy the political and military independence of the states.”

“The state constitutions framed during the War for Independence reflected the fears of a standing army. The framers felt that such an army would create an overbearing force at the disposal of the state governments. All the states included provisions regarding standing armies and militia in their bills of rights. Several had provisions similar to Virginia's:

That a well-regulated militia, composed of the body of the people, trained to arms, is the proper, natural, and safe defense of a Free State; that standing armies, in time of peace, should be avoided, as dangerous to liberty; and that in all cases the military should be under strict subordination to, and governed by, the civil power.”

When the draftsmen of the majority of the state bills of rights wrote of replacing the standing army with a popular militia, they believed it would remove a source of arbitrary military power from the hands of the state governments and replace it with a military less likely to oppress the people. They attempted to structure the political and military balance in the new states by making the governments less powerful and the citizens more powerful.”

“The provisions in the state constitutions granting a ‘right to bear arms’ were not intended to permit a public allowance of the right of revolution. In the first place, the phrase ‘to bear arms’ only meant serving in an organized armed force.  In the second place, the right of revolution, or at least a statement of the principle of that right, was specifically contained in other sections of most state constitutions. In the third place, the guaranty of the ‘right to bear arms’ or similar statements of preference for the militia was contained in that section of the constitutions directly concerned with controlling the military power of the state and not in the section recognizing the right of revolution.”

“The fundamental problem facing the convention was not to support and nourish a revolutionary situation, but to create a viable federal government out of the jealous and independent states. One of the major aspects of this problem was the creation of a national army. The delegates to the convention feared that if the new federal government could obtain sufficient military power, it could then impose its will on the states and on the people.”

“James Madison replied: ‘As the greatest danger is that of disunion of the States it is necessary to guard against it by sufficient powers to the Common Government and as the greatest danger to the liberty is from large standing armies, it is best to prevent them by an effectual provision for a good Militia.’ A compromise was reached whereby the federal government would maintain a standing army plus have the authority to regulate and call out the militia, and the states would have authority over the militia except when it was called into federal service. The results of the compromise appear in article I, section 8 of the United States Constitution…”

“When such a bill of rights was debated in the First Congress, the militia amendment was first reported out of committee of the House of Representatives reading:
A well-regulated Militia, composed of the body of the people, being the best security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed; but no person religiously scrupulous shall be compelled to bear arms.

“Several of the representatives objected to the provision excusing those people ‘religiously scrupulous’ from bearing arms.”

“In any event the religious exemption from the militia was dropped and the amendment in its final form read:  A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed.

“From the debates it seems clear that the intent of Congress in passing the second amendment was to prevent the federal government from destroying the state militia. Pinckney would keep a defense force uniform and at the disposal of the federal government. Martin was assured that the federal government would not emasculate the states and leave them at the mercy of federal troops. The ‘right to bear arms’ was a corporate right used to insure that a desired balance between liberty and authority within the union would be maintained.

“Attempts were made to include a personal right to have arms in the Bill of Rights. Sam Adams introduced a bill in the Massachusetts legislature that the state support an amendment holding that the ‘Constitution be never construed to authorize Congress to ... prevent the people of the United States, who are peaceable citizens from keeping their own arms.’ New Hampshire supported a provision that ‘Congress shall never disarm any citizen unless such as are or have been in Actual Rebellion.’ Though these provisions were never adopted, they indicate that there has never been any absolute "American" philosophy on the right to bear arms. This confusion arises from America's situation of being a frontier nation created out of revolution and espousing a belief in revolution but which also desires and needs to create an orderly social and political structure.”

“While most courts have not attempted to counter the assertion of the right of revolution, an earlier Arkansas court had stated in State v. Buzzard that such a right was unnecessary under a free, republican government which could be changed at the will of the people.”

“The desire to maintain such a balance has had a long history dating from feudal times, through the English revolution to the present day. Such thinking, however, is rare in judicial opinions. Similarly rare is the unitary concept of society and government expressed by the Kansas court in City of Salina v. Blakesly.

“The provision ...that 'the people have the right to bear arms for their defense and security' refers to the people as a collective body. It was the safety and security of society that was being considered when this provision was put into our Constitution .... The provision in question applies only to the right to bear arms as a member of the State Militia, or some other military organization provided for by the law.

Such thinking indicates belief that there is no need to provide for a military balance within the political and social structure when that structure is responsive to the people.

“Most state courts have never spoken of the right to bear arms in the sophisticated terms of political balance, but rather treated the right as synonymous with the right of self-defense.”

“These debates over the issue of the right of self-defense, though of primary interest today, have little relation to the intent of the draftsmen of the Bill of Rights. The right of self-defense has had a long history; but its history was parallel to, not connected with, the right to bear arms.”

“Cases concerning the second amendment arose in the federal courts only after the Civil War. The first of such cases, U.S. v. Cruickshank, implied that there was a personal right to bear arms upon which Congress could not infringe.”

“The issue of regulating the collective right arose in United States v. Miller in which the Supreme Court held that as long as the weapon regulated did not have a direct relationship to the arms used in maintaining a well-regulated militia, they could be controlled…”

“The federal courts have interpreted the right to bear arms contained in the second amendment very narrowly. The right exists only to the extent that the arms are required for a well-regulated militia. Since Presser [v. Illinois], however, the second amendment has been interpreted as a source of federal power and not as a protection of state power. The need for the old military balance between state and national governments had disappeared, and the federal courts no longer recognized its existence.”

“Regardless of the long history of violence and assassination in the United States, the right to bear arms has remained closely and jealously guarded. This right appears to provide the individual with the means of protecting himself against other individuals and of protecting himself against his government. The maintenance of a military balance within the political structure was the genesis of this right, and the desire to continue such a balance will promote its continuation. The right to bear arms supports man in his fear of being defenseless in the face of personal danger or oppression.”
_________________________________________________________________________________



There have been a myriad of court decisions since 1971.  How have they changed the legal interpretation of the right to bear arms? If this is an issue of interest to you, I am sure you have a strong opinion.  If you fall into that category, I suggest you click through to read this entire piece. My selected excerpts may reflect my confirmation bias. 


WHO WILL LEAD?

Monday, November 30, 2015

Microaggressions and Our Orwellian Future


A few years ago, I postulated that George Orwell, the author of 1984, got it wrong (Little Brother is Running Things Now).  Technology had put power in the hands of the people NOT Big Brother, said I.  It was unlikely that a central power would control our thoughts and actions a la 1984.

Now, I am not so sure.

I learned a new word this year – microaggression.  Dictionary.com defines it thus:  “a subtle but offensive comment or action directed at a minority or other non-dominant group that is often unintentional or unconsciously reinforces a stereotype”.  The origin of the word, according to the same source, goes back to 1970.  How have I survived the last 45 years without knowing it?

Buzzfeed provides us with 21 examples, some of which go beyond micro and truly display some macro-stupidity (“What do you guys speak in Japan? Asian?”).  A more institutional approach has been taken by UCLA, which has created a guideline for faculty and staff.  I’m in trouble right away as my favorite get-to-know-you opening line is “where are you from originally?”  I usually follow up with “what brought you here?”

Such questions are apparently evidence of bigotry despite my asking them of everyone including, you know, white people. 

We get a bit more casual about the way of the world as we age.  The phrase “it is what it is” was likely invented for those over 50.  We don’t worry so much about microaggressions.


On the other hand, campus life has always been the birthplace of new liberal thinking.  Winston Churchill is often quoted as saying:  “Show me a young Conservative and I’ll show you someone with no heart.  Show me an old Liberal and I’ll show you someone with no brains.”  (Although, wikiquote.org attributes the quotation’s origin to others.)

None of this bothers me with the exception of one little tidbit: the resignation of University of Missouri president Tim Wolfe.  I am aware that there are those who think that he would not have been forced to resign if the football team hadn’t gone on strike. However, it’s worth noting that his firing (if I may call it that) was not the result of some egregious action.  It was the result of not displaying sufficient sensitivity.

Students at Columbia have taken the focus on sensitivity a step or two further.  Four members of the Multi-cultural Affairs Advisory Board wrote an op-ed protesting the assignment and classroom discussion Ovid’s Metamorphosis.  Apparently, the study of a mythological rape “triggered” negative feelings in a class that included, unbeknownst to the instructor, a survivor of sexual assault.  

The demands of student protestors at Missouri, Columbia and elsewhere (Ithaca College, Vanderbilt) often include the resignation of university presidents and faculty.  And, given the response at Mizzou, the incumbents have something to fear – the loss of their livelihoods and, perhaps, their careers.


So, as the children of helicopter parents look for administrators to protect their fragile little sensibilities from the slings and arrows of the real world, the institutions are caving rather than standing up and stating the obvious: the point of a society is that we figure out a way to live with one another despite our differences.  We use language with all its limitations to get our points across.  How you look at and assess the world is necessarily different than how I do.  Those differences are to be tolerated in a free society not suppressed.   Discuss them.  Argue your point-of-view vehemently.  Develop new opinions.  But, don’t expect institutions to enforce the repression of ideas that don’t match yours.

If the goal of these student protests is to get institutions to not only embrace political correctness but also to act as the “Thought Police”, then any violation will be punished as blasphemy.  University presidents’ losing their jobs is just the first step.  “Groupthink” will rule the day and Orwell’s vision of 1984 will arrive perhaps a bit later than he projected.


WHO WILL LEAD?